Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 11–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent moisture from the Pacific during the rainy season, and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while promoting radiational cooling at night. These conditions align with climatological August norms and position the 10–15 °C outcomes as market leaders. The elevated 41.5 % implied probability on 6 °C or below likely reflects trader caution over possible model spread or localized cooling pockets, though current consensus shows little support for such extremes. Updated SMN briefings and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
6°C or below 82%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
82%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
6%
10°C
23%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C or higher
24%
6°C or below 82%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$17 Vol.
82%
7°C
$69 Vol.
2%
8°C
$16 Vol.
2%
9°C
$6 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 11–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent moisture from the Pacific during the rainy season, and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while promoting radiational cooling at night. These conditions align with climatological August norms and position the 10–15 °C outcomes as market leaders. The elevated 41.5 % implied probability on 6 °C or below likely reflects trader caution over possible model spread or localized cooling pockets, though current consensus shows little support for such extremes. Updated SMN briefings and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$108শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 11–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent moisture from the Pacific during the rainy season, and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while promoting radiational cooling at night. These conditions align with climatological August norms and position the 10–15 °C outcomes as market leaders. The elevated 41.5 % implied probability on 6 °C or below likely reflects trader caution over possible model spread or localized cooling pockets, though current consensus shows little support for such extremes. Updated SMN briefings and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$108শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and multiple models indicate overnight lows of 11–14 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent moisture from the Pacific during the rainy season, and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime heating while promoting radiational cooling at night. These conditions align with climatological August norms and position the 10–15 °C outcomes as market leaders. The elevated 41.5 % implied probability on 6 °C or below likely reflects trader caution over possible model spread or localized cooling pockets, though current consensus shows little support for such extremes. Updated SMN briefings and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা