Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Madrid under stable high pressure with light southerly flow, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36 °C on August 5. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty from daytime boundary-layer mixing, possible thin high cloud, and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2 °C locally. Official guidance from AEMET aligns with these values, placing the most likely maximum in the 34–37 °C range. With 36 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly tied at 49 % and 42.5 % implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow margin between model consensus and small-scale variability; the next high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
36°C 48%
35°C 41%
37°C 10%
34°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
6%
35°C
41%
36°C
48%
37°C
10%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
35°C 41%
37°C 10%
34°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C
$21 Vol.
5%
34°C
$23 Vol.
6%
35°C
$59 Vol.
41%
36°C
$145 Vol.
48%
37°C
$26 Vol.
10%
38°C
$18 Vol.
4%
39°C
$0 Vol.
2%
40°C
$17 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Madrid under stable high pressure with light southerly flow, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36 °C on August 5. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty from daytime boundary-layer mixing, possible thin high cloud, and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2 °C locally. Official guidance from AEMET aligns with these values, placing the most likely maximum in the 34–37 °C range. With 36 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly tied at 49 % and 42.5 % implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow margin between model consensus and small-scale variability; the next high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ভলিউম
$336শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Madrid under stable high pressure with light southerly flow, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36 °C on August 5. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty from daytime boundary-layer mixing, possible thin high cloud, and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2 °C locally. Official guidance from AEMET aligns with these values, placing the most likely maximum in the 34–37 °C range. With 36 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly tied at 49 % and 42.5 % implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow margin between model consensus and small-scale variability; the next high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$336শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Madrid under stable high pressure with light southerly flow, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36 °C on August 5. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty from daytime boundary-layer mixing, possible thin high cloud, and Madrid’s urban heat-island effect, which can add 1–2 °C locally. Official guidance from AEMET aligns with these values, placing the most likely maximum in the 34–37 °C range. With 36 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly tied at 49 % and 42.5 % implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow margin between model consensus and small-scale variability; the next high-resolution runs and afternoon observations will likely refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা