**Trader consensus on the Mexico City high for August 10 centers on 24–25 °C because current forecast guidance and seasonal climatology both point to that narrow range.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 m elevation, so even in the heart of the rainy season daily maxima normally reach only 23–25 °C. August 2026 model runs and extended-range outlooks show a typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon convection, which limits daytime heating while keeping the thermal profile close to the long-term average high of ~24 °C. Recent ensemble guidance has not introduced strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly peaked around the 24 °C and 25 °C bins that together command more than 70 % of market-implied probability. Slight downside risk to 23 °C exists if thicker cloud cover or earlier rain develops, while any break in convection could allow a brief push to 26 °C; both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and moisture profile. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest official forecasts and model consensus most heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability in the 23–25 °C window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 10?
24°C 45%
25°C 26%
23°C 21%
26°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
21%
24°C
45%
25°C
26%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
25°C 26%
23°C 21%
26°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
$161 Vol.
1%
19°C
$156 Vol.
1%
20°C
$81 Vol.
1%
21°C
$68 Vol.
2%
22°C
$81 Vol.
6%
23°C
$93 Vol.
21%
24°C
$252 Vol.
45%
25°C
$97 Vol.
26%
26°C
$225 Vol.
7%
27°C
$93 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$86 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Mexico City high for August 10 centers on 24–25 °C because current forecast guidance and seasonal climatology both point to that narrow range.**
Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 m elevation, so even in the heart of the rainy season daily maxima normally reach only 23–25 °C. August 2026 model runs and extended-range outlooks show a typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon convection, which limits daytime heating while keeping the thermal profile close to the long-term average high of ~24 °C. Recent ensemble guidance has not introduced strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly peaked around the 24 °C and 25 °C bins that together command more than 70 % of market-implied probability.
Slight downside risk to 23 °C exists if thicker cloud cover or earlier rain develops, while any break in convection could allow a brief push to 26 °C; both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and moisture profile. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest official forecasts and model consensus most heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability in the 23–25 °C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,392শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Mexico City high for August 10 centers on 24–25 °C because current forecast guidance and seasonal climatology both point to that narrow range.**
Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 m elevation, so even in the heart of the rainy season daily maxima normally reach only 23–25 °C. August 2026 model runs and extended-range outlooks show a typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon convection, which limits daytime heating while keeping the thermal profile close to the long-term average high of ~24 °C. Recent ensemble guidance has not introduced strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly peaked around the 24 °C and 25 °C bins that together command more than 70 % of market-implied probability.
Slight downside risk to 23 °C exists if thicker cloud cover or earlier rain develops, while any break in convection could allow a brief push to 26 °C; both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and moisture profile. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest official forecasts and model consensus most heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability in the 23–25 °C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,392শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Mexico City high for August 10 centers on 24–25 °C because current forecast guidance and seasonal climatology both point to that narrow range.** Mexico City sits at roughly 2,240 m elevation, so even in the heart of the rainy season daily maxima normally reach only 23–25 °C. August 2026 model runs and extended-range outlooks show a typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon convection, which limits daytime heating while keeping the thermal profile close to the long-term average high of ~24 °C. Recent ensemble guidance has not introduced strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly peaked around the 24 °C and 25 °C bins that together command more than 70 % of market-implied probability. Slight downside risk to 23 °C exists if thicker cloud cover or earlier rain develops, while any break in convection could allow a brief push to 26 °C; both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and moisture profile. With resolution only hours away, traders are weighting the latest official forecasts and model consensus most heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability in the 23–25 °C window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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