Traders are pricing a 27°C high as the most likely outcome for Mexico City on August 4, reflecting consensus from short-range forecast models showing daytime maxima near 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—typical during the peak of the rainy season—limit further warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping probabilities for 28°C or higher below 20%. Recent model runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles have trended slightly cooler than early-July climatology (which averages ~24°C), supporting the current market distribution centered on 26–27°C. With resolution imminent, any last-minute shift in steering flow or moisture convergence could adjust the observed maximum by 1–2°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
27°C 55%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
21%
27°C
55%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 22%
26°C 21%
25°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$92 Vol.
1%
24°C
$166 Vol.
2%
25°C
$198 Vol.
4%
26°C
$327 Vol.
21%
27°C
$230 Vol.
55%
28°C
$339 Vol.
22%
29°C
$123 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$48 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing a 27°C high as the most likely outcome for Mexico City on August 4, reflecting consensus from short-range forecast models showing daytime maxima near 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—typical during the peak of the rainy season—limit further warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping probabilities for 28°C or higher below 20%. Recent model runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles have trended slightly cooler than early-July climatology (which averages ~24°C), supporting the current market distribution centered on 26–27°C. With resolution imminent, any last-minute shift in steering flow or moisture convergence could adjust the observed maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,099শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing a 27°C high as the most likely outcome for Mexico City on August 4, reflecting consensus from short-range forecast models showing daytime maxima near 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—typical during the peak of the rainy season—limit further warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping probabilities for 28°C or higher below 20%. Recent model runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles have trended slightly cooler than early-July climatology (which averages ~24°C), supporting the current market distribution centered on 26–27°C. With resolution imminent, any last-minute shift in steering flow or moisture convergence could adjust the observed maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,099শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing a 27°C high as the most likely outcome for Mexico City on August 4, reflecting consensus from short-range forecast models showing daytime maxima near 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms—typical during the peak of the rainy season—limit further warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping probabilities for 28°C or higher below 20%. Recent model runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and global ensembles have trended slightly cooler than early-July climatology (which averages ~24°C), supporting the current market distribution centered on 26–27°C. With resolution imminent, any last-minute shift in steering flow or moisture convergence could adjust the observed maximum by 1–2°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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