Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 11 points to a Central Park high near or slightly above 90 °F, driven by warm advection under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and above-average mid-level temperatures amid a broader warmer-than-normal August pattern. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 83 °F while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 88–93 °F bins that together exceed 50 % implied probability. Sea-breeze moderation near coastal stations and any late-day convection introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, while the absence of strong cold fronts or cloud cover supports the current market tilt. Updated NWS point forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
$101 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$106 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$204 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$84 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$126 Vol.
40%
92-93°F
$106 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$190 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$44 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$22 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$74 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 11 points to a Central Park high near or slightly above 90 °F, driven by warm advection under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and above-average mid-level temperatures amid a broader warmer-than-normal August pattern. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 83 °F while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 88–93 °F bins that together exceed 50 % implied probability. Sea-breeze moderation near coastal stations and any late-day convection introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, while the absence of strong cold fronts or cloud cover supports the current market tilt. Updated NWS point forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,143শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 11 points to a Central Park high near or slightly above 90 °F, driven by warm advection under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and above-average mid-level temperatures amid a broader warmer-than-normal August pattern. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 83 °F while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 88–93 °F bins that together exceed 50 % implied probability. Sea-breeze moderation near coastal stations and any late-day convection introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, while the absence of strong cold fronts or cloud cover supports the current market tilt. Updated NWS point forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,143শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 11 points to a Central Park high near or slightly above 90 °F, driven by warm advection under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and above-average mid-level temperatures amid a broader warmer-than-normal August pattern. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 83 °F while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, consistent with trader consensus favoring the 88–93 °F bins that together exceed 50 % implied probability. Sea-breeze moderation near coastal stations and any late-day convection introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, while the absence of strong cold fronts or cloud cover supports the current market tilt. Updated NWS point forecasts and model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা