Trader consensus on NYC's August 5 high temperature centers on the closely matched 82–85°F outcomes because the latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster of model solutions around that range, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Primary differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from weak shortwave energy, potential for brief convective cooling, and the strength of onshore flow modulating the urban heat island effect at Central Park. Historical early-August climatology supports highs near 83°F, while recent model runs exhibit limited spread, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 5?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
নতুন
$31,484 Vol.
নতুন
$31,484 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
নতুন
$31,484 Vol.
নতুন
$31,484 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
$9,455 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$986 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,319 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,559 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,203 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$6,229 Vol.
41%
84-85°F
$2,679 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$2,252 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$892 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on NYC's August 5 high temperature centers on the closely matched 82–85°F outcomes because the latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster of model solutions around that range, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Primary differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from weak shortwave energy, potential for brief convective cooling, and the strength of onshore flow modulating the urban heat island effect at Central Park. Historical early-August climatology supports highs near 83°F, while recent model runs exhibit limited spread, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ভলিউম
$31,484শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on NYC's August 5 high temperature centers on the closely matched 82–85°F outcomes because the latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster of model solutions around that range, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Primary differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from weak shortwave energy, potential for brief convective cooling, and the strength of onshore flow modulating the urban heat island effect at Central Park. Historical early-August climatology supports highs near 83°F, while recent model runs exhibit limited spread, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$31,484শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on NYC's August 5 high temperature centers on the closely matched 82–85°F outcomes because the latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance shows a tight cluster of model solutions around that range, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Primary differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from weak shortwave energy, potential for brief convective cooling, and the strength of onshore flow modulating the urban heat island effect at Central Park. Historical early-August climatology supports highs near 83°F, while recent model runs exhibit limited spread, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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