Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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