Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 Vol.
$79,974 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 Vol.
$79,974 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
51°F or below
$1,584 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,544 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$3,872 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,230 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,656 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,636 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,067 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,851 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$6,398 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$32,141 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$13,995 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
ভলিউম
$79,974শেষ তারিখ
Apr 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$79,974শেষ তারিখ
Apr 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা