Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and sea surface temperatures supporting daytime heating, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv features daily maxima near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor modest warming to 32–33°C without significant advection of cooler air or increased humidity. Model consensus shows little spread, with no incoming fronts or enhanced mixing expected before resolution on September 7. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 1°C window heavily, reflecting low forecast uncertainty two days out and the resolution criteria centered on the official highest recorded temperature.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
32°C 64%
33°C 38%
35°C 2%
34°C 1.0%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
64%
33°C
38%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
33°C 38%
35°C 2%
34°C 1.0%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
64%
33°C
38%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and sea surface temperatures supporting daytime heating, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 60% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv features daily maxima near 30–31°C, but current conditions favor modest warming to 32–33°C without significant advection of cooler air or increased humidity. Model consensus shows little spread, with no incoming fronts or enhanced mixing expected before resolution on September 7. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 1°C window heavily, reflecting low forecast uncertainty two days out and the resolution criteria centered on the official highest recorded temperature.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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