Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light westerly flow that limits both strong heating and significant cooling. Sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain seasonally elevated, supporting modest warmth while afternoon sea breezes moderate peaks below extreme levels. Current observations through September 3 show highs of 31–32°C with similar synoptic conditions expected to persist, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C. Minor model spread around 31–33°C reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing two days out; updated runs from national meteorological services will provide the next key data points before resolution.