Northwesterly winds and mild atmospheric conditions are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (44.5%) as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 3. Recent model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate daytime maxima near 15°C under partly cloudy skies, with strong NW flow advecting warmer air while limiting full radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could cap peaks, yet any reduction in wind or clearing would favor the upper end of the 15–17°C range. Historical September averages hover around 13–14°C, so current patterns represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated official forecasts and afternoon observations on September 2 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 3?
17°C 47%
16°C 43%
18°C 8%
15°C 5%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
43%
17°C
47%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 47%
16°C 43%
18°C 8%
15°C 5%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
43%
17°C
47%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds and mild atmospheric conditions are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (44.5%) as the highest temperature in Wellington on September 3. Recent model runs from MetService, Yr, and international guidance indicate daytime maxima near 15°C under partly cloudy skies, with strong NW flow advecting warmer air while limiting full radiative heating. Persistent cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could cap peaks, yet any reduction in wind or clearing would favor the upper end of the 15–17°C range. Historical September averages hover around 13–14°C, so current patterns represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated official forecasts and afternoon observations on September 2 will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা