Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rain or showers tied to a weakening typhoon remnant, which limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 30°C. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to highs of 29–31°C under northwest winds of 5–10 m/s and high humidity, with precipitation reducing surface temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, as stronger convective activity or clearer breaks could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, but current moisture and wind patterns favor slightly suppressed values. Updated model runs from NMC or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 23%
29°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover and moderate rain or showers tied to a weakening typhoon remnant, which limits solar insolation and caps daytime heating near 30°C. Official model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to highs of 29–31°C under northwest winds of 5–10 m/s and high humidity, with precipitation reducing surface temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and rainfall timing, as stronger convective activity or clearer breaks could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, but current moisture and wind patterns favor slightly suppressed values. Updated model runs from NMC or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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