**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 22°C high in Tokyo on September 10, 2026 (97.3% implied probability), driven by real-time forecast consensus from multiple models showing persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds keeping daytime maxima suppressed.** Current conditions feature overcast skies with drizzle or light rain, northeast winds around 8–13 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), limiting solar heating. Afternoon readings from sources such as WindBorne Systems, WeatherBug, and Yr.no cluster near 21–22°C (70–72°F), consistent with a post-frontal cool surge after warmer conditions on September 9 (highs near 31–32°C). This aligns with JMA-adjacent observations and GFS/ECMWF-style guidance indicating the thermal boundary has shifted temperatures well below seasonal norms for early September. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of clouds or a sharper wind shift allowing greater insolation, though current data and timing make a jump to 23°C or higher improbable before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
22°C 97.4%
23°C 6%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$46,257 Vol.
$46,257 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
97%
23°C
6%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 97.4%
23°C 6%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$46,257 Vol.
$46,257 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,567 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,573 Vol.
97%
23°C
$5,957 Vol.
6%
24°C
$4,792 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,067 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,729 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,083 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 22°C high in Tokyo on September 10, 2026 (97.3% implied probability), driven by real-time forecast consensus from multiple models showing persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds keeping daytime maxima suppressed.**
Current conditions feature overcast skies with drizzle or light rain, northeast winds around 8–13 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), limiting solar heating. Afternoon readings from sources such as WindBorne Systems, WeatherBug, and Yr.no cluster near 21–22°C (70–72°F), consistent with a post-frontal cool surge after warmer conditions on September 9 (highs near 31–32°C). This aligns with JMA-adjacent observations and GFS/ECMWF-style guidance indicating the thermal boundary has shifted temperatures well below seasonal norms for early September.
The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of clouds or a sharper wind shift allowing greater insolation, though current data and timing make a jump to 23°C or higher improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$46,257শেষ তারিখ
Sep 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 22°C high in Tokyo on September 10, 2026 (97.3% implied probability), driven by real-time forecast consensus from multiple models showing persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds keeping daytime maxima suppressed.**
Current conditions feature overcast skies with drizzle or light rain, northeast winds around 8–13 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), limiting solar heating. Afternoon readings from sources such as WindBorne Systems, WeatherBug, and Yr.no cluster near 21–22°C (70–72°F), consistent with a post-frontal cool surge after warmer conditions on September 9 (highs near 31–32°C). This aligns with JMA-adjacent observations and GFS/ECMWF-style guidance indicating the thermal boundary has shifted temperatures well below seasonal norms for early September.
The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of clouds or a sharper wind shift allowing greater insolation, though current data and timing make a jump to 23°C or higher improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$46,257শেষ তারিখ
Sep 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 22°C high in Tokyo on September 10, 2026 (97.3% implied probability), driven by real-time forecast consensus from multiple models showing persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds keeping daytime maxima suppressed.** Current conditions feature overcast skies with drizzle or light rain, northeast winds around 8–13 km/h, and high humidity (80–90%), limiting solar heating. Afternoon readings from sources such as WindBorne Systems, WeatherBug, and Yr.no cluster near 21–22°C (70–72°F), consistent with a post-frontal cool surge after warmer conditions on September 9 (highs near 31–32°C). This aligns with JMA-adjacent observations and GFS/ECMWF-style guidance indicating the thermal boundary has shifted temperatures well below seasonal norms for early September. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified atmospheric conditions and short-range model agreement. A realistic challenge would require earlier-than-expected clearing of clouds or a sharper wind shift allowing greater insolation, though current data and timing make a jump to 23°C or higher improbable before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা