Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 9?
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 2%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 21%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 2%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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