Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and ICON ensembles drives the tight 18–19°C split in trader-implied odds for Warsaw’s September 17 maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light westerly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime radiative heating while keeping dew points elevated near 12–14°C, capping the diurnal rise. Minor variations in forecast timing of cloud breaks or precipitation intensity create the narrow spread between these outcomes, with 20°C requiring clearer skies or stronger southerly advection that current runs do not support. Updated model cycles overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?
19°C 39%
18°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
37%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
37%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and ICON ensembles drives the tight 18–19°C split in trader-implied odds for Warsaw’s September 17 maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light westerly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime radiative heating while keeping dew points elevated near 12–14°C, capping the diurnal rise. Minor variations in forecast timing of cloud breaks or precipitation intensity create the narrow spread between these outcomes, with 20°C requiring clearer skies or stronger southerly advection that current runs do not support. Updated model cycles overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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