Current forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models indicates a minimum temperature near 12°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. Historical September averages hover around 10°C, but recent days have shown variability with overnight lows fluctuating between 8–14°C amid shifting Atlantic influences. Trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 49% likely reflects model spread in ensemble runs and potential for localized cooling if winds weaken more than expected, while the clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the most likely range. Updated model guidance and official observations from Warsaw stations will refine resolution criteria ahead of close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
6°C or below 98%
10°C 47%
11°C 47%
8°C 16%
6°C or below
98%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
6%
10°C
47%
11°C
47%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 98%
10°C 47%
11°C 47%
8°C 16%
6°C or below
98%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
6%
10°C
47%
11°C
47%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models indicates a minimum temperature near 12°C in Warsaw on September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. Historical September averages hover around 10°C, but recent days have shown variability with overnight lows fluctuating between 8–14°C amid shifting Atlantic influences. Trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 49% likely reflects model spread in ensemble runs and potential for localized cooling if winds weaken more than expected, while the clustered probabilities around 10–12°C capture the most likely range. Updated model guidance and official observations from Warsaw stations will refine resolution criteria ahead of close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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