Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects six confirmed countries facing U.S. airstrikes or military operations in 2026 so far—Iran (nuclear site strikes in late February), Venezuela (January counter-narcotics raids), Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Somalia—driving the tight race among 7 (32%), 8 (23%), and 9 (14%) outcomes as year-end approaches. Recent AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia on April 10 and CENTCOM precision strikes on ISIS in Syria sustain activity in familiar theaters without adding new ones, while unconfirmed reports of Nigerian counterterrorism ops fuel speculation for a seventh. The contest stays close amid ongoing CENTCOM operations in the Middle East and potential escalations from Houthi disruptions or Iranian proxies, with separation possible via DoD announcements of strikes in Colombia, Mexico cartels, or Nigeria before December 31.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2026 সালে মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কতগুলি ভিন্ন দেশের বিরুদ্ধে সামরিক ব্যবস্থা নেবে?
2026 সালে মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কতগুলি ভিন্ন দেশের বিরুদ্ধে সামরিক ব্যবস্থা নেবে?
৭ 31.6%
৮ 23.4%
৯ 13.6%
৬ 10.0%
$974,063 Vol.
$974,063 Vol.

৬
10%

৭
32%

৮
23%

৯
14%

১০
9%

১১
7%

১২
3%

১৩
2%

১৪
1%

১৫+
1%
৭ 31.6%
৮ 23.4%
৯ 13.6%
৬ 10.0%
$974,063 Vol.
$974,063 Vol.

৬
10%

৭
32%

৮
23%

৯
14%

১০
9%

১১
7%

১২
3%

১৩
2%

১৪
1%

১৫+
1%
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects six confirmed countries facing U.S. airstrikes or military operations in 2026 so far—Iran (nuclear site strikes in late February), Venezuela (January counter-narcotics raids), Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Somalia—driving the tight race among 7 (32%), 8 (23%), and 9 (14%) outcomes as year-end approaches. Recent AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia on April 10 and CENTCOM precision strikes on ISIS in Syria sustain activity in familiar theaters without adding new ones, while unconfirmed reports of Nigerian counterterrorism ops fuel speculation for a seventh. The contest stays close amid ongoing CENTCOM operations in the Middle East and potential escalations from Houthi disruptions or Iranian proxies, with separation possible via DoD announcements of strikes in Colombia, Mexico cartels, or Nigeria before December 31.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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