European Union sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit transactions involving the Nord Stream pipelines, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and REPowerEU strategy have locked in Europe's shift to alternative suppliers such as LNG and Norwegian gas. German authorities under Chancellor Friedrich Merz continue to block any reactivation, consistent with broader efforts to maintain pressure on Moscow, and one intact Nord Stream 2 line remains non-operational amid active legal proceedings over the 2022 sabotage. These structural barriers, reinforced by completed diversification and absent any near-term policy reversal, underpin the market's strong consensus against resumption before 2027. A swift peace agreement or unexpected German government change could still reopen discussion, though both remain distant within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$162,468 Vol.
$162,468 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$162,468 Vol.
$162,468 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European Union sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit transactions involving the Nord Stream pipelines, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and REPowerEU strategy have locked in Europe's shift to alternative suppliers such as LNG and Norwegian gas. German authorities under Chancellor Friedrich Merz continue to block any reactivation, consistent with broader efforts to maintain pressure on Moscow, and one intact Nord Stream 2 line remains non-operational amid active legal proceedings over the 2022 sabotage. These structural barriers, reinforced by completed diversification and absent any near-term policy reversal, underpin the market's strong consensus against resumption before 2027. A swift peace agreement or unexpected German government change could still reopen discussion, though both remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$162,468শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European Union sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit transactions involving the Nord Stream pipelines, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and REPowerEU strategy have locked in Europe's shift to alternative suppliers such as LNG and Norwegian gas. German authorities under Chancellor Friedrich Merz continue to block any reactivation, consistent with broader efforts to maintain pressure on Moscow, and one intact Nord Stream 2 line remains non-operational amid active legal proceedings over the 2022 sabotage. These structural barriers, reinforced by completed diversification and absent any near-term policy reversal, underpin the market's strong consensus against resumption before 2027. A swift peace agreement or unexpected German government change could still reopen discussion, though both remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$162,468শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...European Union sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit transactions involving the Nord Stream pipelines, while the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and REPowerEU strategy have locked in Europe's shift to alternative suppliers such as LNG and Norwegian gas. German authorities under Chancellor Friedrich Merz continue to block any reactivation, consistent with broader efforts to maintain pressure on Moscow, and one intact Nord Stream 2 line remains non-operational amid active legal proceedings over the 2022 sabotage. These structural barriers, reinforced by completed diversification and absent any near-term policy reversal, underpin the market's strong consensus against resumption before 2027. A swift peace agreement or unexpected German government change could still reopen discussion, though both remain distant within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা