The IL-04 race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a southwest Chicago district encompassing Pilsen, Cicero, and surrounding suburbs with a long record of strong Democratic performance in House elections. Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after primary voters backed the incumbent's chief of staff, preserving party continuity following Chuy García's retirement, while Republican Lupe Castillo advanced as the nominee after an earlier 40-point general-election defeat in the same district. Trader consensus at 94.7% for the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments capable of narrowing the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include a late-breaking scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national environment boosting Republican turnout, or successful independent candidacies fragmenting the vote in ways not seen in prior cycles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-04 House Election Winner
IL-04 House Election Winner
$58,090 Vol.
$58,090 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$58,090 Vol.
$58,090 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$42,282 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,808 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a southwest Chicago district encompassing Pilsen, Cicero, and surrounding suburbs with a long record of strong Democratic performance in House elections. Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after primary voters backed the incumbent's chief of staff, preserving party continuity following Chuy García's retirement, while Republican Lupe Castillo advanced as the nominee after an earlier 40-point general-election defeat in the same district. Trader consensus at 94.7% for the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments capable of narrowing the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include a late-breaking scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national environment boosting Republican turnout, or successful independent candidacies fragmenting the vote in ways not seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$58,090শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a southwest Chicago district encompassing Pilsen, Cicero, and surrounding suburbs with a long record of strong Democratic performance in House elections. Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after primary voters backed the incumbent's chief of staff, preserving party continuity following Chuy García's retirement, while Republican Lupe Castillo advanced as the nominee after an earlier 40-point general-election defeat in the same district. Trader consensus at 94.7% for the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments capable of narrowing the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include a late-breaking scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national environment boosting Republican turnout, or successful independent candidacies fragmenting the vote in ways not seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$58,090শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IL-04 race centers on an open Democratic-held seat in a southwest Chicago district encompassing Pilsen, Cicero, and surrounding suburbs with a long record of strong Democratic performance in House elections. Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after primary voters backed the incumbent's chief of staff, preserving party continuity following Chuy García's retirement, while Republican Lupe Castillo advanced as the nominee after an earlier 40-point general-election defeat in the same district. Trader consensus at 94.7% for the Democratic outcome reflects the district's partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of recent polling shifts or major developments capable of narrowing the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result include a late-breaking scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national environment boosting Republican turnout, or successful independent candidacies fragmenting the vote in ways not seen in prior cycles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা