Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on India calendar-year 2026 CPI inflation, with sub-0.75% implied at 30%, 1.50%-2.24% at 26%, and 3.75%-4.49% at 24%, reflecting bets on either aggressive disinflation from favorable base effects and prior FY26 softening or reacceleration amid risks. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.4% year-on-year—driven by food at 3.87%—while WPI hit 3.88%, staying within RBI's 2%-6% target band; the central bank's April MPC held repo at 5.25% and projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%), citing West Asia oil tensions. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy prices, and April CPI (due May 12), with core inflation at 4.4% signaling contained pressures versus upside volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড<0.75% 34%
4.50%+ 27%
1.50% to 2.24% 26%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
$57,516 Vol.
$57,516 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
25%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
26%
2.25% to 2.99%
22%
3.00% to 3.74%
14%
3.75% to 4.49%
27%
4.50%+
20%
<0.75% 34%
4.50%+ 27%
1.50% to 2.24% 26%
2.25% to 2.99% 20%
$57,516 Vol.
$57,516 Vol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$657 Vol.
25%
0.75% to 1.49%
$281 Vol.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$360 Vol.
26%
2.25% to 2.99%
$22,345 Vol.
22%
3.00% to 3.74%
$421 Vol.
14%
3.75% to 4.49%
$22,740 Vol.
27%
4.50%+
$10,711 Vol.
20%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfPolymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on India calendar-year 2026 CPI inflation, with sub-0.75% implied at 30%, 1.50%-2.24% at 26%, and 3.75%-4.49% at 24%, reflecting bets on either aggressive disinflation from favorable base effects and prior FY26 softening or reacceleration amid risks. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.4% year-on-year—driven by food at 3.87%—while WPI hit 3.88%, staying within RBI's 2%-6% target band; the central bank's April MPC held repo at 5.25% and projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%), citing West Asia oil tensions. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy prices, and April CPI (due May 12), with core inflation at 4.4% signaling contained pressures versus upside volatility.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$57,516শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfPolymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on India calendar-year 2026 CPI inflation, with sub-0.75% implied at 30%, 1.50%-2.24% at 26%, and 3.75%-4.49% at 24%, reflecting bets on either aggressive disinflation from favorable base effects and prior FY26 softening or reacceleration amid risks. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.4% year-on-year—driven by food at 3.87%—while WPI hit 3.88%, staying within RBI's 2%-6% target band; the central bank's April MPC held repo at 5.25% and projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%), citing West Asia oil tensions. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy prices, and April CPI (due May 12), with core inflation at 4.4% signaling contained pressures versus upside volatility.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
ভলিউম
$57,516শেষ তারিখ
Jan 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on India calendar-year 2026 CPI inflation, with sub-0.75% implied at 30%, 1.50%-2.24% at 26%, and 3.75%-4.49% at 24%, reflecting bets on either aggressive disinflation from favorable base effects and prior FY26 softening or reacceleration amid risks. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.4% year-on-year—driven by food at 3.87%—while WPI hit 3.88%, staying within RBI's 2%-6% target band; the central bank's April MPC held repo at 5.25% and projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%), citing West Asia oil tensions. Key differentiators include monsoon outcomes, global energy prices, and April CPI (due May 12), with core inflation at 4.4% signaling contained pressures versus upside volatility.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা