Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for CPI inflation to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4, after the June reading of 2.6%. The Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid this uncertainty, with the central projection showing a modest pickup from direct and indirect energy effects before easing toward the 2% target in 2027. Market-implied odds cluster around the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% buckets for the full-year average, reflecting trader focus on the duration of energy pass-through, labor market slack, and any revisions to official forecasts ahead of the next data releases and policy meetings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.3%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,184 Vol.
$91,184 Vol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
7%
2.0–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.4%
2.0–2.4% 24.6%
2.5–2.9% 11.3%
4.5%+ 8%
$91,184 Vol.
$91,184 Vol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
7%
2.0–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments has lifted Bank of England projections for CPI inflation to average 3.2% in 2026 Q4, after the June reading of 2.6%. The Monetary Policy Committee held Bank Rate at 3.75% in July amid this uncertainty, with the central projection showing a modest pickup from direct and indirect energy effects before easing toward the 2% target in 2027. Market-implied odds cluster around the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% buckets for the full-year average, reflecting trader focus on the duration of energy pass-through, labor market slack, and any revisions to official forecasts ahead of the next data releases and policy meetings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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