China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5% and consensus forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and Goldman Sachs cluster around 4.4–4.8%, anchoring trader expectations for the 4.0–5.0% outcome. First-half 2026 expansion reached 4.7%, supported by high-tech manufacturing, equipment investment, and resilient exports tied to global AI demand, while domestic consumption, retail sales, and property investment remained subdued amid ongoing real estate weakness and soft labor conditions. Recent third-quarter data showing softer industrial output and investment have prompted expectations for incremental fiscal and targeted monetary support rather than broad stimulus, keeping the full-year pace within the targeted band. Geopolitical factors, including oil-price volatility, have added uncertainty but not shifted the central outlook outside 4–5%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,147 Vol.
$900,147 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,147 Vol.
$900,147 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$68,058 Vol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,379 Vol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,830 Vol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,476 Vol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,988 Vol.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 Vol.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 Vol.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 Vol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,761 Vol.
1%
9.0%+
$117,484 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5% and consensus forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and Goldman Sachs cluster around 4.4–4.8%, anchoring trader expectations for the 4.0–5.0% outcome. First-half 2026 expansion reached 4.7%, supported by high-tech manufacturing, equipment investment, and resilient exports tied to global AI demand, while domestic consumption, retail sales, and property investment remained subdued amid ongoing real estate weakness and soft labor conditions. Recent third-quarter data showing softer industrial output and investment have prompted expectations for incremental fiscal and targeted monetary support rather than broad stimulus, keeping the full-year pace within the targeted band. Geopolitical factors, including oil-price volatility, have added uncertainty but not shifted the central outlook outside 4–5%.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$900,147শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5% and consensus forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and Goldman Sachs cluster around 4.4–4.8%, anchoring trader expectations for the 4.0–5.0% outcome. First-half 2026 expansion reached 4.7%, supported by high-tech manufacturing, equipment investment, and resilient exports tied to global AI demand, while domestic consumption, retail sales, and property investment remained subdued amid ongoing real estate weakness and soft labor conditions. Recent third-quarter data showing softer industrial output and investment have prompted expectations for incremental fiscal and targeted monetary support rather than broad stimulus, keeping the full-year pace within the targeted band. Geopolitical factors, including oil-price volatility, have added uncertainty but not shifted the central outlook outside 4–5%.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$900,147শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5% and consensus forecasts from institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and Goldman Sachs cluster around 4.4–4.8%, anchoring trader expectations for the 4.0–5.0% outcome. First-half 2026 expansion reached 4.7%, supported by high-tech manufacturing, equipment investment, and resilient exports tied to global AI demand, while domestic consumption, retail sales, and property investment remained subdued amid ongoing real estate weakness and soft labor conditions. Recent third-quarter data showing softer industrial output and investment have prompted expectations for incremental fiscal and targeted monetary support rather than broad stimulus, keeping the full-year pace within the targeted band. Geopolitical factors, including oil-price volatility, have added uncertainty but not shifted the central outlook outside 4–5%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা