Trader consensus heavily favors UK annual GDP growth of 1-2% in 2026, reflecting subdued projections from the Bank of England at 1.1%, the IMF at 1.0%, and the OECD near 0.9%. Recent quarterly data showed 0.6% growth in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, with July monthly output rising 0.4%, yet the energy price shock from Middle East tensions continues to weigh on real household incomes, business costs, and demand while tightening financial conditions. Independent forecasts cluster around 1.1%, underscoring expectations of modest expansion amid a widening output gap and softening labor market. Upside surprises in services or exports could push readings higher, while further energy volatility or persistent weakness in investment might pull annual growth below 1%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড1-2% 92.0%
0-1% 7%
<0 1.3%
3-4% 1.1%
$87,701 Vol.
$87,701 Vol.
Feb 11, 2027
<0
1%
0-1%
7%
1-2%
92%
2-3%
<1%
3-4%
1%
4-5%
<1%
5%+
<1%
1-2% 92.0%
0-1% 7%
<0 1.3%
3-4% 1.1%
$87,701 Vol.
$87,701 Vol.
Feb 11, 2027
<0
$12,267 Vol.
1%
0-1%
$21,517 Vol.
7%
1-2%
$31,436 Vol.
92%
2-3%
$5,026 Vol.
<1%
3-4%
$3,958 Vol.
1%
4-5%
$9,133 Vol.
<1%
5%+
$4,364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors UK annual GDP growth of 1-2% in 2026, reflecting subdued projections from the Bank of England at 1.1%, the IMF at 1.0%, and the OECD near 0.9%. Recent quarterly data showed 0.6% growth in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, with July monthly output rising 0.4%, yet the energy price shock from Middle East tensions continues to weigh on real household incomes, business costs, and demand while tightening financial conditions. Independent forecasts cluster around 1.1%, underscoring expectations of modest expansion amid a widening output gap and softening labor market. Upside surprises in services or exports could push readings higher, while further energy volatility or persistent weakness in investment might pull annual growth below 1%.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
ভলিউম
$87,701শেষ তারিখ
Feb 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors UK annual GDP growth of 1-2% in 2026, reflecting subdued projections from the Bank of England at 1.1%, the IMF at 1.0%, and the OECD near 0.9%. Recent quarterly data showed 0.6% growth in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, with July monthly output rising 0.4%, yet the energy price shock from Middle East tensions continues to weigh on real household incomes, business costs, and demand while tightening financial conditions. Independent forecasts cluster around 1.1%, underscoring expectations of modest expansion amid a widening output gap and softening labor market. Upside surprises in services or exports could push readings higher, while further energy volatility or persistent weakness in investment might pull annual growth below 1%.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$87,701শেষ তারিখ
Feb 12, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors UK annual GDP growth of 1-2% in 2026, reflecting subdued projections from the Bank of England at 1.1%, the IMF at 1.0%, and the OECD near 0.9%. Recent quarterly data showed 0.6% growth in Q1 and 0.4% in Q2, with July monthly output rising 0.4%, yet the energy price shock from Middle East tensions continues to weigh on real household incomes, business costs, and demand while tightening financial conditions. Independent forecasts cluster around 1.1%, underscoring expectations of modest expansion amid a widening output gap and softening labor market. Upside surprises in services or exports could push readings higher, while further energy volatility or persistent weakness in investment might pull annual growth below 1%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা