Recent weak euro area growth momentum and an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions have anchored trader consensus on subdued 2026 GDP expansion, with the 0–1.0% bucket holding dominant implied probability. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and European Commission cluster around 0.8–0.9% for the year, reflecting downward revisions tied to higher energy costs, soft domestic demand, and uneven performance across member states. Q2 2026 preliminary data showed a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter gain that beat expectations, yet this followed flat or negative prints earlier and has not materially shifted the annual outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB staff projections, August–September inflation and PMI releases, and any escalation or resolution in energy markets that could alter the growth trajectory priced into these contracts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0-1.0% 66.9%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
6%
0-1.0%
67%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 66.9%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 5.8%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,659 Vol.
$28,659 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,615 Vol.
6%
0-1.0%
$10,688 Vol.
67%
1.0-2.0%
$6,852 Vol.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,108 Vol.
1%
5.0-6.0%
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,544 Vol.
1%
7.0%+
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area growth momentum and an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions have anchored trader consensus on subdued 2026 GDP expansion, with the 0–1.0% bucket holding dominant implied probability. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and European Commission cluster around 0.8–0.9% for the year, reflecting downward revisions tied to higher energy costs, soft domestic demand, and uneven performance across member states. Q2 2026 preliminary data showed a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter gain that beat expectations, yet this followed flat or negative prints earlier and has not materially shifted the annual outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB staff projections, August–September inflation and PMI releases, and any escalation or resolution in energy markets that could alter the growth trajectory priced into these contracts.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,659শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area growth momentum and an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions have anchored trader consensus on subdued 2026 GDP expansion, with the 0–1.0% bucket holding dominant implied probability. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and European Commission cluster around 0.8–0.9% for the year, reflecting downward revisions tied to higher energy costs, soft domestic demand, and uneven performance across member states. Q2 2026 preliminary data showed a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter gain that beat expectations, yet this followed flat or negative prints earlier and has not materially shifted the annual outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB staff projections, August–September inflation and PMI releases, and any escalation or resolution in energy markets that could alter the growth trajectory priced into these contracts.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$28,659শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent weak euro area growth momentum and an energy price shock from Middle East geopolitical tensions have anchored trader consensus on subdued 2026 GDP expansion, with the 0–1.0% bucket holding dominant implied probability. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and European Commission cluster around 0.8–0.9% for the year, reflecting downward revisions tied to higher energy costs, soft domestic demand, and uneven performance across member states. Q2 2026 preliminary data showed a resilient 0.4% quarter-on-quarter gain that beat expectations, yet this followed flat or negative prints earlier and has not materially shifted the annual outlook. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECB staff projections, August–September inflation and PMI releases, and any escalation or resolution in energy markets that could alter the growth trajectory priced into these contracts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা