Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven trader consensus toward the 0-1.0% Eurozone GDP growth bracket for 2026, now implied at over 70%. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF cluster around 0.8-0.9% following repeated downward revisions tied to higher input costs and weaker real incomes. Second-quarter GDP rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, while July services PMI rebounded above 51, signaling resilience in domestic activity, yet broader manufacturing weakness and elevated headline inflation near 2.9% continue to weigh on the outlook. Market-implied odds reflect this subdued baseline amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with limited scope for stronger expansion absent a rapid de-escalation in commodity markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0-1.0% 70.9%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 3.8%
<0% 3.0%
$29,300 Vol.
$29,300 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
71%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
2%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
4%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 70.9%
1.0-2.0% 25%
4.0-5.0% 3.8%
<0% 3.0%
$29,300 Vol.
$29,300 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,618 Vol.
3%
0-1.0%
$11,103 Vol.
71%
1.0-2.0%
$6,957 Vol.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,126 Vol.
2%
3.0-4.0%
$1,042 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,129 Vol.
4%
5.0-6.0%
$1,131 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,594 Vol.
<1%
7.0%+
$1,601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven trader consensus toward the 0-1.0% Eurozone GDP growth bracket for 2026, now implied at over 70%. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF cluster around 0.8-0.9% following repeated downward revisions tied to higher input costs and weaker real incomes. Second-quarter GDP rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, while July services PMI rebounded above 51, signaling resilience in domestic activity, yet broader manufacturing weakness and elevated headline inflation near 2.9% continue to weigh on the outlook. Market-implied odds reflect this subdued baseline amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with limited scope for stronger expansion absent a rapid de-escalation in commodity markets.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$29,300শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven trader consensus toward the 0-1.0% Eurozone GDP growth bracket for 2026, now implied at over 70%. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF cluster around 0.8-0.9% following repeated downward revisions tied to higher input costs and weaker real incomes. Second-quarter GDP rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, while July services PMI rebounded above 51, signaling resilience in domestic activity, yet broader manufacturing weakness and elevated headline inflation near 2.9% continue to weigh on the outlook. Market-implied odds reflect this subdued baseline amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with limited scope for stronger expansion absent a rapid de-escalation in commodity markets.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$29,300শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven trader consensus toward the 0-1.0% Eurozone GDP growth bracket for 2026, now implied at over 70%. Official projections from the ECB, OECD, and IMF cluster around 0.8-0.9% following repeated downward revisions tied to higher input costs and weaker real incomes. Second-quarter GDP rose 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, while July services PMI rebounded above 51, signaling resilience in domestic activity, yet broader manufacturing weakness and elevated headline inflation near 2.9% continue to weigh on the outlook. Market-implied odds reflect this subdued baseline amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with limited scope for stronger expansion absent a rapid de-escalation in commodity markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা