Recent downward revisions to 2026 euro area growth forecasts by the ECB, IMF, and OECD—to 0.8-0.9%—anchor trader sentiment around the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.6% implied probability. Energy price shocks from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have weighed on purchasing power and confidence while lifting inflation expectations, prompting cautious policy stances. Q1 GDP contracted on revisions, and while Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter above expectations, leading indicators such as PMI readings signal decelerating momentum. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these subdued fundamentals versus historical base rates near 1%, with limited scope for upside absent sustained de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0-1.0% 66.7%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,966 Vol.
$28,966 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
4%
0-1.0%
67%
1.0-2.0%
25%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 66.7%
1.0-2.0% 25%
<0% 4.2%
4.0-5.0% <1%
$28,966 Vol.
$28,966 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,615 Vol.
4%
0-1.0%
$10,889 Vol.
67%
1.0-2.0%
$6,957 Vol.
25%
2.0-3.0%
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,108 Vol.
1%
5.0-6.0%
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,544 Vol.
1%
7.0%+
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent downward revisions to 2026 euro area growth forecasts by the ECB, IMF, and OECD—to 0.8-0.9%—anchor trader sentiment around the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.6% implied probability. Energy price shocks from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have weighed on purchasing power and confidence while lifting inflation expectations, prompting cautious policy stances. Q1 GDP contracted on revisions, and while Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter above expectations, leading indicators such as PMI readings signal decelerating momentum. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these subdued fundamentals versus historical base rates near 1%, with limited scope for upside absent sustained de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,966শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent downward revisions to 2026 euro area growth forecasts by the ECB, IMF, and OECD—to 0.8-0.9%—anchor trader sentiment around the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.6% implied probability. Energy price shocks from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have weighed on purchasing power and confidence while lifting inflation expectations, prompting cautious policy stances. Q1 GDP contracted on revisions, and while Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter above expectations, leading indicators such as PMI readings signal decelerating momentum. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these subdued fundamentals versus historical base rates near 1%, with limited scope for upside absent sustained de-escalation.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$28,966শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent downward revisions to 2026 euro area growth forecasts by the ECB, IMF, and OECD—to 0.8-0.9%—anchor trader sentiment around the 0-1.0% outcome at 66.6% implied probability. Energy price shocks from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, have weighed on purchasing power and confidence while lifting inflation expectations, prompting cautious policy stances. Q1 GDP contracted on revisions, and while Q2 expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter above expectations, leading indicators such as PMI readings signal decelerating momentum. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital consensus on these subdued fundamentals versus historical base rates near 1%, with limited scope for upside absent sustained de-escalation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা