Recent June CPI data surprised to the downside with a 0.4% monthly decline—the largest since 2020—driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices, pulling the annual rate to 3.5%. Renewed geopolitical tensions in early July reversed that energy relief, pushing gasoline and related costs higher and supporting expectations for a modest rebound in the July monthly print. With the release due August 12, trader consensus reflected in the 56% implied probability on ≥0.1% and 32.5% on flat aligns with this energy-driven volatility and tempered core trends, while assigning low odds to deeper deflationary outcomes. Broader labor-market softening and tariff pass-through effects remain secondary influences on the near-term path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড≥0.1% 56%
0.0% 33%
-0.1% 5.9%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$157,601 Vol.
$157,601 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
33%
≥0.1%
56%
≥0.1% 56%
0.0% 33%
-0.1% 5.9%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$157,601 Vol.
$157,601 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$12,060 Vol.
1%
-0.6%
$5,813 Vol.
<1%
-0.5%
$5,522 Vol.
<1%
-0.4%
$5,461 Vol.
<1%
-0.3%
$5,769 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$6,225 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$12,024 Vol.
6%
0.0%
$29,048 Vol.
33%
≥0.1%
$75,679 Vol.
56%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data surprised to the downside with a 0.4% monthly decline—the largest since 2020—driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices, pulling the annual rate to 3.5%. Renewed geopolitical tensions in early July reversed that energy relief, pushing gasoline and related costs higher and supporting expectations for a modest rebound in the July monthly print. With the release due August 12, trader consensus reflected in the 56% implied probability on ≥0.1% and 32.5% on flat aligns with this energy-driven volatility and tempered core trends, while assigning low odds to deeper deflationary outcomes. Broader labor-market softening and tariff pass-through effects remain secondary influences on the near-term path.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$157,601শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data surprised to the downside with a 0.4% monthly decline—the largest since 2020—driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices, pulling the annual rate to 3.5%. Renewed geopolitical tensions in early July reversed that energy relief, pushing gasoline and related costs higher and supporting expectations for a modest rebound in the July monthly print. With the release due August 12, trader consensus reflected in the 56% implied probability on ≥0.1% and 32.5% on flat aligns with this energy-driven volatility and tempered core trends, while assigning low odds to deeper deflationary outcomes. Broader labor-market softening and tariff pass-through effects remain secondary influences on the near-term path.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$157,601শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data surprised to the downside with a 0.4% monthly decline—the largest since 2020—driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices, pulling the annual rate to 3.5%. Renewed geopolitical tensions in early July reversed that energy relief, pushing gasoline and related costs higher and supporting expectations for a modest rebound in the July monthly print. With the release due August 12, trader consensus reflected in the 56% implied probability on ≥0.1% and 32.5% on flat aligns with this energy-driven volatility and tempered core trends, while assigning low odds to deeper deflationary outcomes. Broader labor-market softening and tariff pass-through effects remain secondary influences on the near-term path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা