Recent June 2026 CPI data, which cooled to 3.5% year-over-year from May’s 4.2% and beat forecasts, anchors trader expectations for the July annual inflation print. Moderating energy prices contributed to the headline decline, yet core services and shelter components remain sticky, supporting a consensus view that July will hold near 3.4%. Market-implied probabilities place the highest weight on 3.4% at 41.5%, followed by 3.3% and 3.5%, reflecting aggregated positioning ahead of the August 12 release. Broader influences include persistent wage pressures and potential tariff effects on goods prices, balanced against softer recent momentum that could cap upside surprises.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3.4% 42%
3.3% 30%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 5.5%
$222,106 Vol.
$222,106 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
30%
3.4%
42%
3.5%
22%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
2%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
3.4% 42%
3.3% 30%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 5.5%
$222,106 Vol.
$222,106 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
$17,049 Vol.
2%
3.2%
$18,129 Vol.
6%
3.3%
$42,602 Vol.
30%
3.4%
$47,622 Vol.
42%
3.5%
$24,343 Vol.
22%
3.6%
$12,995 Vol.
2%
3.7%
$13,431 Vol.
2%
3.8%
$12,258 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$10,100 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$8,460 Vol.
<1%
4.1%
$7,245 Vol.
<1%
≥4.2%
$7,872 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data, which cooled to 3.5% year-over-year from May’s 4.2% and beat forecasts, anchors trader expectations for the July annual inflation print. Moderating energy prices contributed to the headline decline, yet core services and shelter components remain sticky, supporting a consensus view that July will hold near 3.4%. Market-implied probabilities place the highest weight on 3.4% at 41.5%, followed by 3.3% and 3.5%, reflecting aggregated positioning ahead of the August 12 release. Broader influences include persistent wage pressures and potential tariff effects on goods prices, balanced against softer recent momentum that could cap upside surprises.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$222,106শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data, which cooled to 3.5% year-over-year from May’s 4.2% and beat forecasts, anchors trader expectations for the July annual inflation print. Moderating energy prices contributed to the headline decline, yet core services and shelter components remain sticky, supporting a consensus view that July will hold near 3.4%. Market-implied probabilities place the highest weight on 3.4% at 41.5%, followed by 3.3% and 3.5%, reflecting aggregated positioning ahead of the August 12 release. Broader influences include persistent wage pressures and potential tariff effects on goods prices, balanced against softer recent momentum that could cap upside surprises.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$222,106শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data, which cooled to 3.5% year-over-year from May’s 4.2% and beat forecasts, anchors trader expectations for the July annual inflation print. Moderating energy prices contributed to the headline decline, yet core services and shelter components remain sticky, supporting a consensus view that July will hold near 3.4%. Market-implied probabilities place the highest weight on 3.4% at 41.5%, followed by 3.3% and 3.5%, reflecting aggregated positioning ahead of the August 12 release. Broader influences include persistent wage pressures and potential tariff effects on goods prices, balanced against softer recent momentum that could cap upside surprises.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা