Recent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 3.12%—the lowest since May 2020—has reinforced trader expectations for contained price pressures through year-end, with the reading falling comfortably inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band and core inflation near 3.95%. This disinflationary trajectory, alongside subdued food and energy components, underpins the leading market-implied odds of 41.5% for a 3.50-3.99% full-year average and 28.5% for 4.00-4.49%, consistent with consensus forecasts clustering between 3.0% and 4.1%. Banxico’s decision to hold its policy rate at 6.5% while shifting its 3% target convergence to late 2027 highlights lingering risks from services and potential peso volatility, leaving room for modest upside revisions if upcoming monthly prints exceed expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 40.1%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 7.1%
$64,148 Vol.
$64,148 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
36%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 40.1%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 7.1%
$64,148 Vol.
$64,148 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,061 Vol.
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 Vol.
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$28,329 Vol.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,034 Vol.
36%
4.00% to 4.49%
$12,313 Vol.
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,752 Vol.
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,452 Vol.
4%
5.50%+
$6,313 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 3.12%—the lowest since May 2020—has reinforced trader expectations for contained price pressures through year-end, with the reading falling comfortably inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band and core inflation near 3.95%. This disinflationary trajectory, alongside subdued food and energy components, underpins the leading market-implied odds of 41.5% for a 3.50-3.99% full-year average and 28.5% for 4.00-4.49%, consistent with consensus forecasts clustering between 3.0% and 4.1%. Banxico’s decision to hold its policy rate at 6.5% while shifting its 3% target convergence to late 2027 highlights lingering risks from services and potential peso volatility, leaving room for modest upside revisions if upcoming monthly prints exceed expectations.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$64,148শেষ তারিখ
Jan 8, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 3.12%—the lowest since May 2020—has reinforced trader expectations for contained price pressures through year-end, with the reading falling comfortably inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band and core inflation near 3.95%. This disinflationary trajectory, alongside subdued food and energy components, underpins the leading market-implied odds of 41.5% for a 3.50-3.99% full-year average and 28.5% for 4.00-4.49%, consistent with consensus forecasts clustering between 3.0% and 4.1%. Banxico’s decision to hold its policy rate at 6.5% while shifting its 3% target convergence to late 2027 highlights lingering risks from services and potential peso volatility, leaving room for modest upside revisions if upcoming monthly prints exceed expectations.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ভলিউম
$64,148শেষ তারিখ
Jan 8, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 3.12%—the lowest since May 2020—has reinforced trader expectations for contained price pressures through year-end, with the reading falling comfortably inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band and core inflation near 3.95%. This disinflationary trajectory, alongside subdued food and energy components, underpins the leading market-implied odds of 41.5% for a 3.50-3.99% full-year average and 28.5% for 4.00-4.49%, consistent with consensus forecasts clustering between 3.0% and 4.1%. Banxico’s decision to hold its policy rate at 6.5% while shifting its 3% target convergence to late 2027 highlights lingering risks from services and potential peso volatility, leaving room for modest upside revisions if upcoming monthly prints exceed expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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