**Ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary framework continues to shape trader views on 2026 Argentine inflation, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% and monthly prints near 2.1%.** Tight primary surpluses, controlled monetary base growth, and a managed exchange-rate regime have anchored expectations despite temporary upward pressure from higher global energy prices and relative-price adjustments. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% buckets because forecasters (BBVA, OECD, IMF, REM analysts) project year-end outcomes around 29–31%, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent service and regulated-price inertia. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases, BCRA policy signals, and any renewed oil-price volatility that could shift the balance between these ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29.9% 43%
35–39.9% 3.8%
<20% 1.8%
$45,216 Vol.
$45,216 Vol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
43%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
4%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.2%
25-29.9% 43%
35–39.9% 3.8%
<20% 1.8%
$45,216 Vol.
$45,216 Vol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
43%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
4%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**Ongoing disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and monetary framework continues to shape trader views on 2026 Argentine inflation, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% and monthly prints near 2.1%.** Tight primary surpluses, controlled monetary base growth, and a managed exchange-rate regime have anchored expectations despite temporary upward pressure from higher global energy prices and relative-price adjustments. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% buckets because forecasters (BBVA, OECD, IMF, REM analysts) project year-end outcomes around 29–31%, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent service and regulated-price inertia. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming INDEC releases, BCRA policy signals, and any renewed oil-price volatility that could shift the balance between these ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা