Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.4% close behind at 27%, reflecting moderation after March's outsized 0.9% surge—the largest since 2022—driven by energy price spikes from Iran tensions. Recent developments, including an Iran ceasefire triggering a 22% oil collapse, softer-than-expected March PPI at 0.5% monthly (versus 1.1% forecast), and Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated April 17 showing headline CPI at 0.46% and core at 0.21%, have shifted sentiment toward sub-0.6% outcomes. High-frequency indicators and revised seasonal factors further support this cooling, ahead of the May 12 release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
May 12, 2026
≤0.3%
8%
0.4%
27%
0.5%
41%
0.6%
14%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
5%
0.9%
4%
1.0%
3%
≥1.1%
3%
নতুন
নতুন
May 12, 2026
≤0.3%
$361 Vol.
8%
0.4%
$885 Vol.
27%
0.5%
$1,187 Vol.
41%
0.6%
$566 Vol.
14%
0.7%
$930 Vol.
8%
0.8%
$808 Vol.
5%
0.9%
$714 Vol.
4%
1.0%
$1,026 Vol.
3%
≥1.1%
$696 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.4% close behind at 27%, reflecting moderation after March's outsized 0.9% surge—the largest since 2022—driven by energy price spikes from Iran tensions. Recent developments, including an Iran ceasefire triggering a 22% oil collapse, softer-than-expected March PPI at 0.5% monthly (versus 1.1% forecast), and Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated April 17 showing headline CPI at 0.46% and core at 0.21%, have shifted sentiment toward sub-0.6% outcomes. High-frequency indicators and revised seasonal factors further support this cooling, ahead of the May 12 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,172শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.4% close behind at 27%, reflecting moderation after March's outsized 0.9% surge—the largest since 2022—driven by energy price spikes from Iran tensions. Recent developments, including an Iran ceasefire triggering a 22% oil collapse, softer-than-expected March PPI at 0.5% monthly (versus 1.1% forecast), and Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated April 17 showing headline CPI at 0.46% and core at 0.21%, have shifted sentiment toward sub-0.6% outcomes. High-frequency indicators and revised seasonal factors further support this cooling, ahead of the May 12 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in April 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ভলিউম
$7,172শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for April 2026 CPI month-over-month at 0.5%, with 0.4% close behind at 27%, reflecting moderation after March's outsized 0.9% surge—the largest since 2022—driven by energy price spikes from Iran tensions. Recent developments, including an Iran ceasefire triggering a 22% oil collapse, softer-than-expected March PPI at 0.5% monthly (versus 1.1% forecast), and Cleveland Fed nowcasts updated April 17 showing headline CPI at 0.46% and core at 0.21%, have shifted sentiment toward sub-0.6% outcomes. High-frequency indicators and revised seasonal factors further support this cooling, ahead of the May 12 release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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