Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 24%
1.0–1.5% 9.8%
$58,341 Vol.
$58,341 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
5%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
10%
1.5–2.0%
30%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
24%
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 24%
1.0–1.5% 9.8%
$58,341 Vol.
$58,341 Vol.
Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
$7,480 Vol.
5%
0.5–1.0%
$17,293 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$3,825 Vol.
10%
1.5–2.0%
$6,633 Vol.
30%
2.0–2.5%
$7,104 Vol.
32%
>2.5%
$16,005 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$58,341শেষ তারিখ
Jan 29, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$58,341শেষ তারিখ
Jan 29, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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