Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces an uphill contest in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election after months of defections reduced its Knesset faction and recent polling averages placed its projected vote share between 0.4% and 2.8%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold in nearly all surveys. The party submitted a heavily revised slate days before the September 8 deadline, incorporating new candidates amid calls from other opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting centrist votes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities—led by the <0.75% bucket—aligns with this pattern of structural weakness against stronger competitors such as Yashar and Together, leaving limited room for a late surge before election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
1.25-2% 21%
2-3.25% 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
39%
0.75-1.25%
22%
1.25-2%
21%
2-3.25%
21%
3.25%+
7%
<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
1.25-2% 21%
2-3.25% 21%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$244 Vol.
39%
0.75-1.25%
$373 Vol.
22%
1.25-2%
$15 Vol.
21%
2-3.25%
$15 Vol.
21%
3.25%+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces an uphill contest in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election after months of defections reduced its Knesset faction and recent polling averages placed its projected vote share between 0.4% and 2.8%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold in nearly all surveys. The party submitted a heavily revised slate days before the September 8 deadline, incorporating new candidates amid calls from other opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting centrist votes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities—led by the <0.75% bucket—aligns with this pattern of structural weakness against stronger competitors such as Yashar and Together, leaving limited room for a late surge before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$892শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces an uphill contest in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election after months of defections reduced its Knesset faction and recent polling averages placed its projected vote share between 0.4% and 2.8%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold in nearly all surveys. The party submitted a heavily revised slate days before the September 8 deadline, incorporating new candidates amid calls from other opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting centrist votes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities—led by the <0.75% bucket—aligns with this pattern of structural weakness against stronger competitors such as Yashar and Together, leaving limited room for a late surge before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ভলিউম
$892শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces an uphill contest in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election after months of defections reduced its Knesset faction and recent polling averages placed its projected vote share between 0.4% and 2.8%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold in nearly all surveys. The party submitted a heavily revised slate days before the September 8 deadline, incorporating new candidates amid calls from other opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting centrist votes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities—led by the <0.75% bucket—aligns with this pattern of structural weakness against stronger competitors such as Yashar and Together, leaving limited room for a late surge before election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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