Incumbent Rep. Brett Guthrie (R) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for victory in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with R+20 partisan lean where he won 73% in 2024. His commanding fundraising edge—nearly $4 million raised versus negligible sums for primary challengers G. Perry Adelmann and Joshua Ferguson—bolsters expectations of an easy May 19 Republican primary win, consistent with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Democrats face a fragmented primary among low-funded repeat challengers like Hank Linderman, mirroring past lopsided defeats. Odds could shift via a Guthrie primary upset, scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,331 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brett Guthrie (R) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for victory in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with R+20 partisan lean where he won 73% in 2024. His commanding fundraising edge—nearly $4 million raised versus negligible sums for primary challengers G. Perry Adelmann and Joshua Ferguson—bolsters expectations of an easy May 19 Republican primary win, consistent with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Democrats face a fragmented primary among low-funded repeat challengers like Hank Linderman, mirroring past lopsided defeats. Odds could shift via a Guthrie primary upset, scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,331শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brett Guthrie (R) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for victory in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with R+20 partisan lean where he won 73% in 2024. His commanding fundraising edge—nearly $4 million raised versus negligible sums for primary challengers G. Perry Adelmann and Joshua Ferguson—bolsters expectations of an easy May 19 Republican primary win, consistent with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Democrats face a fragmented primary among low-funded repeat challengers like Hank Linderman, mirroring past lopsided defeats. Odds could shift via a Guthrie primary upset, scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$2,331শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brett Guthrie (R) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability for victory in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with R+20 partisan lean where he won 73% in 2024. His commanding fundraising edge—nearly $4 million raised versus negligible sums for primary challengers G. Perry Adelmann and Joshua Ferguson—bolsters expectations of an easy May 19 Republican primary win, consistent with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Democrats face a fragmented primary among low-funded repeat challengers like Hank Linderman, mirroring past lopsided defeats. Odds could shift via a Guthrie primary upset, scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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