**Clear skies, strong southeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure system are keeping overnight temperatures in Cape Town tightly clustered around 11–13°C on September 17, 2026, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance from sources such as GFS-based forecasts, Yr.no, and local outlets consistently project an overnight minimum near 12°C under clear conditions, with hourly readings showing a gradual drop from evening values near 15°C to lows around 12–13°C before dawn. Strong SE winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts to 60+ km/h enhance mixing and radiative cooling but also limit extreme drops, while high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppresses cloud formation and precipitation. Slight model and station differences—such as Cape Town International Airport versus urban sites, or exact timing of the daily minimum—create the tight spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, yet current dry, windy spring conditions favor the upper end of the typical range. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and minor forecast adjustments that could shift the recorded low by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 17?
13°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
47%
10°C
23%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C 47%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
47%
10°C
23%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, strong southeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure system are keeping overnight temperatures in Cape Town tightly clustered around 11–13°C on September 17, 2026, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance from sources such as GFS-based forecasts, Yr.no, and local outlets consistently project an overnight minimum near 12°C under clear conditions, with hourly readings showing a gradual drop from evening values near 15°C to lows around 12–13°C before dawn. Strong SE winds of 25–40 km/h with gusts to 60+ km/h enhance mixing and radiative cooling but also limit extreme drops, while high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppresses cloud formation and precipitation. Slight model and station differences—such as Cape Town International Airport versus urban sites, or exact timing of the daily minimum—create the tight spread between 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, yet current dry, windy spring conditions favor the upper end of the typical range. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and minor forecast adjustments that could shift the recorded low by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা