**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
70-71°F 99.5%
68-69°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
$3,367 Vol.
$3,367 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 99.5%
68-69°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
$3,367 Vol.
$3,367 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
$190 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$245 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$371 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$268 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$127 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$566 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$516 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$120 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$305 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$200 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$460 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.**
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F.
Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,367শেষ তারিখ
Aug 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.**
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F.
Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,367শেষ তারিখ
Aug 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Trader consensus centers on a 69–71°F minimum for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, driven by a regional heat wave that suppressed typical nocturnal cooling.** Official National Weather Service observations recorded a 69°F low at both downtown Los Angeles and LAX, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (56%) and 68–69°F bin (29%). A persistent marine-layer inversion failed to develop strongly overnight, while warmer-than-normal sea-surface temperatures along the coast reduced the usual radiative cooling and stratus-driven chill. Daytime highs reached 84–98°F amid the broader Southern California heat wave, with minimal diurnal temperature drop as southwesterly flow and elevated dew points maintained overnight warmth near 69–70°F. Historical August minima at LAX average ~65°F, but the 2026 pattern deviated upward by 4–5°F due to the synoptic setup. Market-implied probabilities align closely with these verified measurements and forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours, which showed little chance of dropping into the mid-60s or below.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা