Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show Madrid experiencing clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 11, promoting strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures around 12–13°C, consistent with the 78% market-implied probability for 11°C or below and the secondary 22% chance at 12°C. Recent AEMET observations indicate a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with historical September 11 lows averaging 16.2°C but capable of dropping sharply under similar high-pressure conditions. Model consensus remains the key near-term driver ahead of final overnight readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 11?
11°C or below 73%
12°C 22%
14°C 18%
15°C 15%
11°C or below
78%
12°C
22%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
15%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
9%
11°C or below 73%
12°C 22%
14°C 18%
15°C 15%
11°C or below
78%
12°C
22%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
15%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS data show Madrid experiencing clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 11, promoting strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures around 12–13°C, consistent with the 78% market-implied probability for 11°C or below and the secondary 22% chance at 12°C. Recent AEMET observations indicate a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with historical September 11 lows averaging 16.2°C but capable of dropping sharply under similar high-pressure conditions. Model consensus remains the key near-term driver ahead of final overnight readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা