Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
7°C or below 94%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
17°C or higher 50%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
45%
15°C
1%
16°C
34%
17°C or higher
50%
7°C or below 94%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
17°C or higher 50%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
45%
15°C
1%
16°C
34%
17°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow point to an overnight low near 9–13°C on August 26 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the market tightly contested between sub-8°C and 12°C outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, as partial cloud cover limits longwave heat loss while any clearing or calmer conditions could allow temperatures to approach the lower tail of the distribution. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average Moscow nighttime readings decline from roughly 15°C early in August toward 12–13°C by month-end. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in minimum temperatures, with final model updates and observational trends expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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