**Trader sentiment on the lowest Moscow temperature for August 29, 2026, centers on the narrow 10–12°C range because official and model guidance converge tightly around this band amid typical late-summer nocturnal cooling.** Russian Hydrometcenter forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 9°C under variable cloudiness and light south-easterly winds (3–8 m/s), while multiple international models and hourly profiles show early-morning minima of 11–13°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C. The close market-implied odds (roughly 45–47% each for 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum: differences arise from small variations in cloud cover that modulate longwave radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing from weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central Moscow versus outlying stations. Stable atmospheric pressure (around 755–770 mmHg) and low precipitation probability limit larger deviations, while model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range forecast. Resolution will hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum and official station readings used for settlement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
11°C 47%
10°C 46%
9°C 7%
6°C <1%
$1,153 Vol.
$1,153 Vol.
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
46%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C or higher
<1%
11°C 47%
10°C 46%
9°C 7%
6°C <1%
$1,153 Vol.
$1,153 Vol.
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
46%
11°C
47%
12°C
47%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment on the lowest Moscow temperature for August 29, 2026, centers on the narrow 10–12°C range because official and model guidance converge tightly around this band amid typical late-summer nocturnal cooling.** Russian Hydrometcenter forecasts indicate nighttime lows near 9°C under variable cloudiness and light south-easterly winds (3–8 m/s), while multiple international models and hourly profiles show early-morning minima of 11–13°C, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C. The close market-implied odds (roughly 45–47% each for 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum: differences arise from small variations in cloud cover that modulate longwave radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing from weak winds, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C in central Moscow versus outlying stations. Stable atmospheric pressure (around 755–770 mmHg) and low precipitation probability limit larger deviations, while model ensembles show limited spread for this short-range forecast. Resolution will hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum and official station readings used for settlement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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