**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a nighttime low near 12°C for Moscow on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with brief rain possible and southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s.** International models show a slightly milder range, with lows commonly projected between 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F), reflecting differences in how they handle overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Key scientific factors creating the tight spread around 12–17°C include the degree of cloud cover persisting after sunset, which reduces longwave radiative heat loss from the surface; wind speed and direction, where stronger southwesterly flow promotes turbulent mixing and limits surface cooling; and the precise advection of warmer maritime air versus clearer, calmer conditions favoring greater temperature drops. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.5°C, so current conditions sit above climatology due to mild upstream flow. The market's near-even pricing across 13–17°C (each ~49.5%) and 12°C (~46.5%) captures this model uncertainty and the limited time remaining for overnight observations to resolve the exact minimum before resolution criteria are met. Lower outcomes below 12°C carry minimal implied probability, consistent with the absence of strong cold-air advection.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
17°C 49%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
5%
12°C
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
17°C 49%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
$128 Vol.
5%
12°C
$6 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$6 Vol.
49%
16°C
$5 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$88 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a nighttime low near 12°C for Moscow on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with brief rain possible and southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s.** International models show a slightly milder range, with lows commonly projected between 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F), reflecting differences in how they handle overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing.
Key scientific factors creating the tight spread around 12–17°C include the degree of cloud cover persisting after sunset, which reduces longwave radiative heat loss from the surface; wind speed and direction, where stronger southwesterly flow promotes turbulent mixing and limits surface cooling; and the precise advection of warmer maritime air versus clearer, calmer conditions favoring greater temperature drops. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.5°C, so current conditions sit above climatology due to mild upstream flow.
The market's near-even pricing across 13–17°C (each ~49.5%) and 12°C (~46.5%) captures this model uncertainty and the limited time remaining for overnight observations to resolve the exact minimum before resolution criteria are met. Lower outcomes below 12°C carry minimal implied probability, consistent with the absence of strong cold-air advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$324শেষ তারিখ
Sep 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a nighttime low near 12°C for Moscow on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with brief rain possible and southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s.** International models show a slightly milder range, with lows commonly projected between 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F), reflecting differences in how they handle overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing.
Key scientific factors creating the tight spread around 12–17°C include the degree of cloud cover persisting after sunset, which reduces longwave radiative heat loss from the surface; wind speed and direction, where stronger southwesterly flow promotes turbulent mixing and limits surface cooling; and the precise advection of warmer maritime air versus clearer, calmer conditions favoring greater temperature drops. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.5°C, so current conditions sit above climatology due to mild upstream flow.
The market's near-even pricing across 13–17°C (each ~49.5%) and 12°C (~46.5%) captures this model uncertainty and the limited time remaining for overnight observations to resolve the exact minimum before resolution criteria are met. Lower outcomes below 12°C carry minimal implied probability, consistent with the absence of strong cold-air advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$324শেষ তারিখ
Sep 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a nighttime low near 12°C for Moscow on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with brief rain possible and southwesterly winds of 7–12 m/s.** International models show a slightly milder range, with lows commonly projected between 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F), reflecting differences in how they handle overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Key scientific factors creating the tight spread around 12–17°C include the degree of cloud cover persisting after sunset, which reduces longwave radiative heat loss from the surface; wind speed and direction, where stronger southwesterly flow promotes turbulent mixing and limits surface cooling; and the precise advection of warmer maritime air versus clearer, calmer conditions favoring greater temperature drops. Historical September averages place the typical low near 10.5°C, so current conditions sit above climatology due to mild upstream flow. The market's near-even pricing across 13–17°C (each ~49.5%) and 12°C (~46.5%) captures this model uncertainty and the limited time remaining for overnight observations to resolve the exact minimum before resolution criteria are met. Lower outcomes below 12°C carry minimal implied probability, consistent with the absence of strong cold-air advection.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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