**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 3, 2026, most likely between 13–15 °C.** Overcast skies with periods of light rain or drizzle, combined with moderate westerly to southwesterly flow, are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum elevated relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 10 °C. Daytime highs are projected near 17–20 °C under the same cloudy regime, further supporting a relatively mild overnight low. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the short-range guidance, which explains why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 10–14 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 9 °C or above 18 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
18°C or higher 87%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
10°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
4%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
87%
18°C or higher 87%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
10°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
9°C
$25 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
50%
16°C
$16 Vol.
50%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 3, 2026, most likely between 13–15 °C.** Overcast skies with periods of light rain or drizzle, combined with moderate westerly to southwesterly flow, are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum elevated relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 10 °C.
Daytime highs are projected near 17–20 °C under the same cloudy regime, further supporting a relatively mild overnight low. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the short-range guidance, which explains why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 10–14 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 9 °C or above 18 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$61শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 3, 2026, most likely between 13–15 °C.** Overcast skies with periods of light rain or drizzle, combined with moderate westerly to southwesterly flow, are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum elevated relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 10 °C.
Daytime highs are projected near 17–20 °C under the same cloudy regime, further supporting a relatively mild overnight low. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the short-range guidance, which explains why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 10–14 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 9 °C or above 18 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$61শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 3, 2026, most likely between 13–15 °C.** Overcast skies with periods of light rain or drizzle, combined with moderate westerly to southwesterly flow, are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling and keep the daily minimum elevated relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 10 °C. Daytime highs are projected near 17–20 °C under the same cloudy regime, further supporting a relatively mild overnight low. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling is anticipated in the short-range guidance, which explains why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 10–14 °C outcomes while assigning lower weight to extremes below 9 °C or above 18 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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