Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 14?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 34%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 34%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
63°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$13 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$118 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$44 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$114 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$32 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$117 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$482শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$482শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate modest overnight cooling under a warm, humid air mass, with Central Park and LaGuardia lows most likely settling between 70–75°F. High dew points near 65–70°F limit radiative cooling, while light winds and variable cloud cover create the narrow spread reflected in trader positioning. Historical mid-August analogs rarely dip below 68°F amid urban heat retention, and no strong frontal passage is expected before dawn on the 14th. Minor model disagreements center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins nearly tied as the highest-probability outcomes. Updated short-range guidance overnight could refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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