Recent National Weather Service forecasts and early-morning observations near 69°F point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for Central Park, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 70–73°F. Persistent high humidity near 93–96%, lingering cloud cover, and light northwest winds are limiting radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping temperatures elevated compared with climatological averages around 66–68°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows only modest further decline before sunrise, while historical precedent for late-August minima rarely dips below 60°F absent strong cold advection. Traders are pricing in these boundary-layer conditions and the narrow window before resolution, with any unexpected clearing or model shift the main variables that could alter the 70°F+ consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
60-61°F <1%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
60-61°F <1%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and early-morning observations near 69°F point to an overnight low in the mid-60s for Central Park, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 70–73°F. Persistent high humidity near 93–96%, lingering cloud cover, and light northwest winds are limiting radiative cooling and urban heat retention, keeping temperatures elevated compared with climatological averages around 66–68°F. Model consensus from NWS and private sources shows only modest further decline before sunrise, while historical precedent for late-August minima rarely dips below 60°F absent strong cold advection. Traders are pricing in these boundary-layer conditions and the narrow window before resolution, with any unexpected clearing or model shift the main variables that could alter the 70°F+ consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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