**Persistent high-pressure conditions across Western Europe, including a heat dome over France, are driving elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris for August 13.** Clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm-air advection have sustained daytime highs near or above 35–38°C in recent days, with limited nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from Météo-France and model consensus (including ECMWF) indicate the minimum will likely settle around 20–22°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 19–21°C (combined ~90% implied probability). This reflects the current heatwave’s fifth episode of the summer, with no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected before the 13th to enhance radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, but the anomalous blocking pattern has shifted the distribution warmer. Traders are weighting the latest short-range forecast updates, which show stable high pressure through midweek; any earlier-than-expected relaxation of the ridge or model shift toward more mixing could still nudge probabilities toward 19°C or below.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
20°C 45%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
45%
21°C
32%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$582 Vol.
3%
19°C
$370 Vol.
16%
20°C
$729 Vol.
45%
21°C
$750 Vol.
32%
22°C
$329 Vol.
6%
23°C
$193 Vol.
4%
24°C
$544 Vol.
1%
25°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure conditions across Western Europe, including a heat dome over France, are driving elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris for August 13.**
Clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm-air advection have sustained daytime highs near or above 35–38°C in recent days, with limited nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from Météo-France and model consensus (including ECMWF) indicate the minimum will likely settle around 20–22°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 19–21°C (combined ~90% implied probability).
This reflects the current heatwave’s fifth episode of the summer, with no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected before the 13th to enhance radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, but the anomalous blocking pattern has shifted the distribution warmer. Traders are weighting the latest short-range forecast updates, which show stable high pressure through midweek; any earlier-than-expected relaxation of the ridge or model shift toward more mixing could still nudge probabilities toward 19°C or below.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,680শেষ তারিখ
Aug 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure conditions across Western Europe, including a heat dome over France, are driving elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris for August 13.**
Clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm-air advection have sustained daytime highs near or above 35–38°C in recent days, with limited nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from Météo-France and model consensus (including ECMWF) indicate the minimum will likely settle around 20–22°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 19–21°C (combined ~90% implied probability).
This reflects the current heatwave’s fifth episode of the summer, with no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected before the 13th to enhance radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, but the anomalous blocking pattern has shifted the distribution warmer. Traders are weighting the latest short-range forecast updates, which show stable high pressure through midweek; any earlier-than-expected relaxation of the ridge or model shift toward more mixing could still nudge probabilities toward 19°C or below.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,680শেষ তারিখ
Aug 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure conditions across Western Europe, including a heat dome over France, are driving elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris for August 13.** Clear skies, light winds, and southerly warm-air advection have sustained daytime highs near or above 35–38°C in recent days, with limited nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from Météo-France and model consensus (including ECMWF) indicate the minimum will likely settle around 20–22°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 19–21°C (combined ~90% implied probability). This reflects the current heatwave’s fifth episode of the summer, with no significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected before the 13th to enhance radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, but the anomalous blocking pattern has shifted the distribution warmer. Traders are weighting the latest short-range forecast updates, which show stable high pressure through midweek; any earlier-than-expected relaxation of the ridge or model shift toward more mixing could still nudge probabilities toward 19°C or below.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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