Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate daytime highs of 37–39°C for Madrid on August 12 under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of midsummer continental climate patterns. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 39°C (55.5% implied probability) and 38°C (35.5%), as recent ensemble runs show limited variability in peak temperatures ahead of the short-term window. August climatology places average highs near 33°C, but current conditions reflect seasonal amplification without significant Atlantic moisture or cloud cover to moderate extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 12?
39°C 56%
38°C 36%
37°C 5%
40°C 3%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
36%
39°C
56%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
39°C 56%
38°C 36%
37°C 5%
40°C 3%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
36%
39°C
56%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate daytime highs of 37–39°C for Madrid on August 12 under persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical of midsummer continental climate patterns. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 39°C (55.5% implied probability) and 38°C (35.5%), as recent ensemble runs show limited variability in peak temperatures ahead of the short-term window. August climatology places average highs near 33°C, but current conditions reflect seasonal amplification without significant Atlantic moisture or cloud cover to moderate extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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