Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 22–24°C for Tokyo on August 12 under persistent high pressure modified by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while moderating daytime heat buildup, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in a narrow range that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities. Key variables include exact timing of rainfall, which can advect slightly cooler marine air, and boundary-layer humidity that influences how much temperatures drop after sunset. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
24°C 34%
23°C 24%
22°C 16%
21°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 24%
22°C 16%
21°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 22–24°C for Tokyo on August 12 under persistent high pressure modified by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling while moderating daytime heat buildup, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in a narrow range that aligns with the closely matched market probabilities. Key variables include exact timing of rainfall, which can advect slightly cooler marine air, and boundary-layer humidity that influences how much temperatures drop after sunset. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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