Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
17°C 34%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
34%
18°C
33%
19°C
14%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 34%
18°C 33%
16°C 20%
19°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
34%
18°C
33%
19°C
14%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a cooling trend into mid-August, with highs likely near 17–18°C on the 12th amid a shift toward more unsettled conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by the precise timing and strength of a passing frontal boundary, variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating, and light precipitation chances that can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places late-summer Moscow maxima near 22°C, but recent upstream observations suggest cooler maritime air advection is already underway. Traders therefore cluster around the 17–18°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction can readily tip the daily high between these thresholds, while probabilities for 16°C or 19°C reflect residual model disagreement ahead of the next update cycle.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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