Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
37°C 34%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
17%
37°C
34%
38°C
25%
39°C
12%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 34%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C
$50 Vol.
4%
35°C
$41 Vol.
7%
36°C
$47 Vol.
17%
37°C
$126 Vol.
34%
38°C
$216 Vol.
25%
39°C
$54 Vol.
12%
40°C
$84 Vol.
4%
41°C
$12 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$720শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$720শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা