Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes at 45% and 40.5% implied probability. August climatology typically delivers highs of 12–13°C under cool southerly and westerly maritime flows, but a developing front and brief northerly shift are expected to allow modest warming while sustained cloud cover and winds cap further gains. Recent days stayed cooler at 10–12°C amid stronger southerlies, so the latest model runs reflect improving conditions. Small differences in frontal timing or wind direction can shift the observed peak by 1°C, keeping the market tightly contested ahead of final MetService guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
13°C 44%
14°C 37%
12°C 17.1%
15°C 4%
নতুন
$41,482 Vol.
নতুন
$41,482 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
17%
13°C
44%
14°C
37%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 44%
14°C 37%
12°C 17.1%
15°C 4%
নতুন
$41,482 Vol.
নতুন
$41,482 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,807 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5,994 Vol.
2%
12°C
$6,514 Vol.
17%
13°C
$9,066 Vol.
44%
14°C
$4,772 Vol.
37%
15°C
$4,745 Vol.
4%
16°C
$3,203 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$658 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes at 45% and 40.5% implied probability. August climatology typically delivers highs of 12–13°C under cool southerly and westerly maritime flows, but a developing front and brief northerly shift are expected to allow modest warming while sustained cloud cover and winds cap further gains. Recent days stayed cooler at 10–12°C amid stronger southerlies, so the latest model runs reflect improving conditions. Small differences in frontal timing or wind direction can shift the observed peak by 1°C, keeping the market tightly contested ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$41,482শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes at 45% and 40.5% implied probability. August climatology typically delivers highs of 12–13°C under cool southerly and westerly maritime flows, but a developing front and brief northerly shift are expected to allow modest warming while sustained cloud cover and winds cap further gains. Recent days stayed cooler at 10–12°C amid stronger southerlies, so the latest model runs reflect improving conditions. Small differences in frontal timing or wind direction can shift the observed peak by 1°C, keeping the market tightly contested ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$41,482শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, driving the near-even split between those two outcomes at 45% and 40.5% implied probability. August climatology typically delivers highs of 12–13°C under cool southerly and westerly maritime flows, but a developing front and brief northerly shift are expected to allow modest warming while sustained cloud cover and winds cap further gains. Recent days stayed cooler at 10–12°C amid stronger southerlies, so the latest model runs reflect improving conditions. Small differences in frontal timing or wind direction can shift the observed peak by 1°C, keeping the market tightly contested ahead of final MetService guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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