**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.** This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 19?
19°C 49%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
42%
20°C
27%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 49%
18°C 31%
20°C 22%
21°C 19%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
42%
20°C
27%
21°C
19%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Korean meteorological data point to a minimum temperature of 18–20°C (64–68°F) for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under stable conditions with light northeasterly winds, partly to mostly clear skies, and no significant precipitation expected.** This setup favors radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 27–29°C, producing the tight clustering around 19–20°C that traders have priced at roughly 80% combined implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, or station-specific microclimates (Seoul vs. Incheon International Airport) create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 18°C or below as current guidance shows limited additional cooling. Historical September baselines for the region align with these values during transitional autumn patterns without strong frontal passages. Updated short-range model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum and drive any late shifts in market odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা