Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies point to overnight lows near 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 17, driven by light easterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clearer autumn nights, keeping the minimum above typical September baselines around 21°C. The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes reflects minor divergences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts, with traders weighting recent runs showing slightly stronger stabilization near 23°C. Official updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau or refined ensemble forecasts ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
9%
22°C
39%
23°C
42%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
9%
22°C
39%
23°C
42%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional agencies point to overnight lows near 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 17, driven by light easterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clearer autumn nights, keeping the minimum above typical September baselines around 21°C. The narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes reflects minor divergences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts, with traders weighting recent runs showing slightly stronger stabilization near 23°C. Official updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau or refined ensemble forecasts ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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