Forecast consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models positions overnight lows near 26–27°C for Taipei on August 29 as the leading outcomes, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Afternoon thundershowers typical of late August further moderate temperatures without introducing cooler air masses, aligning with historical climatology where minima rarely dip below 25°C absent frontal passages. Recent model runs show stable guidance with only minor spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 26°C at 44% implied probability while leaving room for slight revisions if showers intensify overnight.